Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 13.386012 15.145218 17.184674 19.758121 22.969775 26.918201 32.260249
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.720497 13.976058 16.823737 20.797523 26.404931 34.401504 47.475078
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.050847 12.324037 15.330350 19.774749 26.534455 37.165659 57.132741
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.123157 11.448869 14.647724 19.621815 27.724473 41.739536 72.245170
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.379292 10.707425 14.010647 19.363029 28.604264 46.011507 89.804972
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.840411 10.181895 13.598541 19.349945 29.849895 51.407883 115.109968
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.455246 9.831099 13.392397 19.616179 31.641724 58.725035 155.754183
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.942573 9.241773 12.746235 19.017781 31.592078 61.759517 186.852480
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.613024 8.899885 12.454264 18.997024 32.719385 68.398508 250.438359
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.195864 8.391550 11.843355 18.304299 32.229685 70.318980 295.151194
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.763078 7.832474 11.106127 17.290388 30.824361 68.934192 315.039732
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.414196 7.386508 10.528229 16.524545 29.874380 68.738617 348.772006
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.564462 7.756056 11.386481 18.740000 36.887606 102.414453 1351.797378
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.490709 7.756369 11.603618 19.704540 41.164398 132.676788 8610.249373
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.160755 7.309830 10.977375 18.761411 39.690771 132.320538 17455.796275
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.965801 7.078565 10.727267 18.620264 40.626501 147.658279 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.774809 6.842750 10.450044 18.381300 41.203666 162.269888 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.626794 6.671760 10.280852 18.369215 42.543764 185.802245 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.519739 6.564861 10.224284 18.615060 44.888365 225.229194 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.330863 6.305979 9.856705 18.062293 44.177028 233.491659 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.212791 6.165780 9.711515 18.043106 45.505847 270.971347 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.036513 5.915280 9.334564 17.402287 44.231006 271.844263 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.837864 5.618708 8.853741 16.462590 41.594608 249.496617 NaN